Penapolense vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 0
VOT
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 1
PEN
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
PEN
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIR
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VOT
2 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAT
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
PEN
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |