Penapolense vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 2
BOA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 1
PEN
25%
27%
47%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 1
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LON
77%
15%
7%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 1
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 3
LON
19%
24%
58%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |