Penapolense vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
BEB
1 - 2
PEN
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
ECN
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 1
PEN
34%
24%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OSV
1 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 2
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BEB
2 - 1
LEM
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 0
OSV
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
LEM
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 2
BAT
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |