Penapolense vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
PEN
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
PEN
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 2
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SCI
4 - 1
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
CAN
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |