Penapolense vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 1
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 1
NOR
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 3
PEN
55%
22%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OES
4 - 2
ITU
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 4
SAO
13%
21%
67%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 2
ITU
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
ITU
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |