Penapolense vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
PEN
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SEP
0 - 4
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
RBB
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 0
PEN
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
LEM
73%
17%
9%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BEB
1 - 2
FRA
23%
24%
54%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 3
GRÊ
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FEL
0 - 0
FRA
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 1
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |