Penapolense vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 5
XVD
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
PEN
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 1
PEN
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
MIR
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FER
0 - 2
MIR
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
XVD
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
NOR
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
FER
19%
24%
58%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
LIN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |