Penapolense vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 2
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
PAU
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
GDS
3 - 2
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BEB
2 - 0
FER
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 5
CAT
28%
24%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
FER
4 - 2
AME
69%
21%
10%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |