Penapolense vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
AUD
2 - 0
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
XVD
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
PPE
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
SAO
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 4
COR
20%
27%
53%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
COM
75%
19%
6%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COR
3 - 2
RIO
68%
22%
10%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
OES
1 - 2
COR
19%
28%
53%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |