Penapolense vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
ECN
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
TAU
2 - 2
PEN
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AUD
3 - 1
RIO
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
AUD
50%
23%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
AUD
49%
23%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AUD
4 - 0
SAO
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 3
AUD
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |