Penapolense vs Amparo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 0
PEN
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
PEN
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
SJS
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AMP
0 - 2
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Amparo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
AMP
4 - 3
FRA
29%
25%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SJS
1 - 0
AMP
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AMP
1 - 0
SJS
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 1
AMP
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AMP
0 - 2
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |