Penapolense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
6 - 0
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
AGU
52%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 2
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
XVD
0 - 0
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 2
INT
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
TAU
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
AUD
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |