Penapolense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
2 - 0
PEN
21%
23%
57%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 0
PEN
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
TAU
3 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
27%
24%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |