Penalva Castelo vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNM
7%
16%
77%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GON
4 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
GAF
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
SAN
10%
20%
71%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CIN
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADN
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |