Penalva Castelo vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
GRI
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
AVA
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACV
3 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEN
77%
16%
8%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAC
7 - 2
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
PEN
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 2
POM
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 3
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 0
CRA
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | +1 |