Penalva Castelo vs Coimbrões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CIN
2 - 1
PEN
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
ESP
9%
21%
69%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 0
PEN
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 5
AMA
11%
22%
67%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Coimbrões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
COI
2 - 1
AMA
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
3 - 2
COI
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
COI
1 - 3
RDA
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
COI
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
COI
1 - 2
GON
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |