Penalva Castelo vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 1
PEN
79%
14%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 5
LUS
21%
25%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AMA
3 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAR
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
PEN
9%
15%
76%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 2
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 0
SPO
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIN
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 1
ESP
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 0
CIN
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |