Penafiel vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 4
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
PEN
1 - 0
CHA
36%
31%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
SPB
0 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
PEN
2 - 0
BMA
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
VST
1 - 0
BOA
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
SCP
4 - 3
VST
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
VST
1 - 1
EST
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
VST
4 - 0
FAF
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
NAC
4 - 4
VST
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |