Penafiel vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1988 |
POR
4 - 1
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCP
15%
27%
58%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
VAR
3 - 4
PEN
48%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
PEN
3 - 1
LEX
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1988 |
VST
0 - 2
SAL
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
CHA
2 - 0
VST
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
VST
1 - 0
OEL
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
VST
1 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |