Penafiel vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
28.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
VIT
2 - 1
PEN
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
MAR
44%
31%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 1
PEN
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 1
BOA
34%
31%
35%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
SCP
6 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
VST
2 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
VST
3 - 1
SPC
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
VST
0 - 0
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |