Penafiel vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
SPB
2 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
PEN
1 - 0
ACV
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
SCP
3 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 1
PEN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCP
13%
20%
67%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
FCP
2 - 1
VST
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
ACV
2 - 0
VST
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
57%
26%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
SCP
4 - 1
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |