Penafiel vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
AMO
3 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
POR
2 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCP
12%
20%
68%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
SLB
6 - 0
PEN
92%
6%
2%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
20%
28%
53%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
VST
0 - 3
MAR
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
ACV
1 - 0
VST
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |