Penafiel vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACV
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
VSC
2 - 3
PEN
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 3
PEN
7%
16%
77%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 2
VIT
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SCP
5 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 1
SPB
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
TON
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |