Penafiel vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
GFC
2 - 0
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
PEN
0 - 0
BOA
24%
31%
46%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
SAL
1 - 1
PEN
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
FAR
4 - 1
PEN
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
PEN
1 - 1
UNM
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
VIT
1 - 1
UNM
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
BMA
1 - 2
VIT
43%
30%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
22%
28%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
SPB
2 - 1
VIT
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAM
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |