Penafiel vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
35.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
PEN
50%
29%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCP
13%
30%
57%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
BOA
0 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 1
SCP
13%
25%
62%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEL
43%
32%
26%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
VIT
0 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SLB
3 - 1
VIT
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
VIT
5 - 0
SPC
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
VIT
3 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |