Penafiel vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
MOR
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
SCP
4 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
GFC
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
OLI
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 2
VAR
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 2
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
4 - 3
RIB
67%
20%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |