Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
4 - 2
EST
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 1
PEN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 0
VAR
48%
28%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
VSC
4 - 5
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
PAÇ
19%
26%
55%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
FAR
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
EST
3 - 1
OLI
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 2
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
OLI
65%
23%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
VSC
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |