Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
MOR
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLH
3 - 1
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 0
LEX
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
PEN
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 1
OLI
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FEI
1 - 1
OLI
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAL
19%
20%
61%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ADO
0 - 1
OLI
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 1
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |