Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
PEN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OLH
2 - 1
PEN
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
LEX
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 1
BRA
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
OLI
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 0
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CES
2 - 1
OLI
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |