Penafiel vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
VST
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
PEN
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAT
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEL
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
VAR
3 - 4
PEN
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TRO
0 - 0
FEI
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
TRO
26%
28%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TRO
1 - 0
MOR
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
TRO
2 - 4
GFC
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |