Penafiel vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
SCP
3 - 1
PEN
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
PEN
0 - 1
VIT
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
GFC
2 - 0
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
PEN
0 - 0
BOA
24%
31%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
SAL
1 - 1
PEN
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
TOR
1 - 0
BMA
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
SLB
0 - 0
TOR
89%
8%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
TOR
0 - 0
SPB
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
FAM
2 - 0
TOR
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
TOR
0 - 0
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |