Penafiel vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
ACV
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
LUS
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 2
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
BOA
0 - 0
TON
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SPB
2 - 2
TON
76%
16%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
TON
3 - 4
ACV
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
TON
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AVE
2 - 1
TON
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |