Penafiel vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
23.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 0
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
BEL
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 2
PEN
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
NAV
36%
28%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TON
0 - 3
LEX
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
TON
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
VSC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TON
1 - 2
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TON
1 - 2
FEI
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |