Penafiel vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
29%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
FEI
2 - 1
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPB
31%
31%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 1
PEN
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
PEN
0 - 4
SLB
14%
30%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
SCP
2 - 1
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
EST
1 - 0
TIR
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
TIR
1 - 0
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
BMA
1 - 0
TIR
46%
28%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
TIR
0 - 0
VIT
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
VST
4 - 2
TIR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |