Penafiel vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.9%
59.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
20.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1990 |
FCP
2 - 0
PEN
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
PEN
0 - 2
NAC
37%
31%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
BMA
0 - 0
PEN
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIT
23%
32%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
VST
3 - 1
PEN
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1990 |
SCP
3 - 0
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
73%
18%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
28%
28%
43%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
SCP
2 - 0
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
UNM
0 - 0
SCP
12%
20%
69%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |