Penafiel vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 4
SAN
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 0
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ACA
3 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAF
1 - 0
PEN
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
COV
2 - 1
SPC
26%
28%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 2
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LEX
0 - 0
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACV
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
SPC
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |