Penafiel vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
PEN
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 2
PEN
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
VSC
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 2
SCP
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 2
SPC
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
VSC
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
LEX
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 3
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |