Penafiel vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 0
PEN
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
BOA
0 - 0
PEN
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIT
23%
31%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
BEL
3 - 1
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1987 |
SPC
1 - 0
SAL
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
CHA
2 - 1
SPC
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
SPC
1 - 2
OEL
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
SCP
2 - 0
SPC
91%
6%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
SPC
1 - 2
MAR
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |