Penafiel vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 0
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
NAV
4 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
EST
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
FCP
3 - 1
PEN
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SPB
1 - 0
UDL
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
SPB
3 - 2
SCP
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
GFC
2 - 1
SPB
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |