Penafiel vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
33.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
VIZ
2 - 2
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEL
43%
31%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
SCP
1 - 1
PEN
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
39%
32%
29%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
42%
32%
27%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
SPB
4 - 1
VAR
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPB
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
85%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
SPB
3 - 1
FAR
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPB
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |