Penafiel vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
RDA
1 - 0
PEN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
PEN
2 - 0
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 3
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
PEN
0 - 0
VST
37%
30%
34%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
POR
3 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
SPB
5 - 1
RDA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |