Penafiel vs SC Freamunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
16.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
PEN
33%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
PEN
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
SCF
0 - 2
LEX
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
SCF
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SCF
2 - 2
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
SCF
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SCF
1 - 1
UNM
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |