Penafiel vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 3
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 1
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
VST
0 - 0
PEN
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
1 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FEI
0 - 1
SAL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAV
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 2
SAL
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAL
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |