Penafiel vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
17%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
26.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 0
PEN
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
41%
30%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
VST
4 - 0
PEN
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
UNM
0 - 1
PEN
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
VIT
33%
31%
36%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
SAL
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
SPC
0 - 0
SAL
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 0
VST
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
VIT
0 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |