Penafiel vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 1
PEN
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
PEN
0 - 1
TRO
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 0
BMA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
OLH
3 - 1
PEN
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
3 - 1
SCF
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 0
RIO
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
VIZ
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GFC
1 - 1
RIO
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 1
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |