Penafiel vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 3
GFC
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 3
PEN
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 1
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPB
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 3
RIO
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 2
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
48%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VST
2 - 0
RIO
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 1
GFC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |