Penafiel vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
28.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 0
PEN
89%
8%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPB
36%
31%
33%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
VIZ
2 - 2
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEL
43%
31%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
SCP
1 - 1
PEN
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
RIO
1 - 0
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
SAL
2 - 0
RIO
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
60%
24%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1985 |
SCP
0 - 1
RIO
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
ACA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |