Penafiel vs Porto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FEI
0 - 0
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
SCF
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
PEN
33%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
VSC
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
POR
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
POR
3 - 1
OLI
47%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 2
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
POR
47%
27%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |