Penafiel vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
PEN
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
POR
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FEI
0 - 0
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
SCF
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
PEN
33%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
LEX
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
NAV
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 1
TON
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UNM
2 - 2
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
BEL
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |