Penafiel vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 1
UNM
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAC
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
PEN
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
TRO
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 2
NAV
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 1
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 2
NAV
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
NAV
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |